Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.306293e-01 0.313088 0.410068 0.530676 0.674754 0.839512 1.040270
2026-02-08 1.298397e-01 0.227190 0.361164 0.550241 0.801337 1.114775 1.526598
2026-02-15 6.868162e-02 0.160877 0.310781 0.549353 0.896757 1.362352 2.010444
2026-02-22 4.134479e-02 0.129687 0.297098 0.591419 1.051454 1.700664 2.641389
2026-03-01 2.314529e-02 0.101847 0.277131 0.616156 1.180911 2.014080 3.262404
2026-03-08 1.139553e-02 0.076603 0.250489 0.620919 1.276573 2.283918 3.838707
2026-03-15 4.606656e-03 0.054861 0.219945 0.608996 1.339978 2.507085 4.358516
2026-03-22 1.846661e-03 0.042336 0.204328 0.620632 1.441650 2.792661 4.981363
2026-03-29 5.308896e-04 0.031546 0.186586 0.622300 1.523475 3.049675 5.571310
2026-04-05 5.737441e-05 0.021476 0.163051 0.603802 1.563746 3.239535 6.065241
2026-04-12 1.024063e-07 0.014304 0.142855 0.586735 1.602602 3.426774 6.560389
2026-04-19 NaN 0.010262 0.131751 0.589550 1.679849 3.681444 7.169476
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006049 0.112912 0.566007 1.701792 3.845431 7.647609
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004682 0.110647 0.591327 1.830585 4.204520 8.454773
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003018 0.101731 0.592883 1.907051 4.473527 9.124114
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002657 0.105630 0.638632 2.086976 4.937947 10.129385
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002014 0.104225 0.665471 2.225460 5.331611 11.027731
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001254 0.097466 0.670872 2.314075 5.636220 11.785391
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000611 0.087031 0.658456 2.358439 5.859108 12.410999
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000354 0.083086 0.670855 2.463950 6.201419 13.247463
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000161 0.077166 0.672668 2.542699 6.494624 14.006189
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000037 0.067452 0.653132 2.564652 6.677871 14.579508
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000003 0.058965 0.635087 2.587879 6.863522 15.160654